Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.5%
Barcelona
13.6%
Draw
6.8%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Barcelona
vs
0.67
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.0%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
5-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).