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16 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Wisła Płock
34.2%
Draw
29.6%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Wisła Płock

vs
0.88

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.3%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).