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18 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.2%
Bromley
17.6%
Draw
12.2%
Morecambe

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Bromley

vs
0.78

Morecambe

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).