Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Caen
21.8%
Draw
53.0%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Caen
vs
1.74
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).