Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Almeria
24.9%
Draw
31.2%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Almeria
vs
1.25
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).