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AHT: 20CSV

21 Oct 2023 · 20:00

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Zaragoza
32.6%
Draw
41.3%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Zaragoza

vs
1.02

Eibar

Markets

BTTS33.3%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.7%
0-0
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).