Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Almeria
27.2%
Draw
36.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Almeria
vs
1.22
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).