Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Almeria
30.8%
Draw
33.2%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Almeria
vs
1.03
Getafe
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
12.0%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).