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05 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.5%
Crowborough Athletic
19.2%
Draw
28.3%
Punjab United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.35

Crowborough Athletic

vs
1.71

Punjab United

Markets

BTTS73.9%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.577.1%
Over 3.557.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).