Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Mainz
26.4%
Draw
43.3%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Mainz
vs
1.56
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).