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HHT: 11CSV

04 May 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Stuttgart
16.8%
Draw
67.8%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Stuttgart

vs
2.82

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS69.8%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.578.5%
Over 3.559.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
0-4
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).