Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Colchester
26.2%
Draw
39.9%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Colchester
vs
1.29
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).