Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Dresden
28.9%
Draw
35.1%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Dresden
vs
1.28
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).