Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Mirandes
22.8%
Draw
19.6%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Mirandes
vs
0.94
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).