Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Milan
30.1%
Draw
30.0%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Milan
vs
0.91
Roma
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).