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AHT: 00CSV

09 Mar 2024 · 15:15

Oviedo

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Albacete
30.1%
Draw
39.1%
Oviedo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Albacete

vs
1.10

Oviedo

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).