Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Saint-Étienne
17.2%
Draw
14.6%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Saint-Étienne
vs
0.96
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).