Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Lecce
22.1%
Draw
12.2%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Lecce
vs
0.76
Crotone
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).