Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Charlton
21.9%
Draw
18.3%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Charlton
vs
0.80
Swindon
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).