Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Crotone
29.4%
Draw
29.6%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Crotone
vs
1.12
Benevento
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).