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15 Apr 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.8%
Venezia
25.2%
Draw
19.0%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Venezia

vs
0.97

Palermo

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).