Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Walsall
24.5%
Draw
39.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Walsall
vs
1.42
Swindon
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).