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01 Sept 2019 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.3%
PAOK
17.5%
Draw
7.3%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

PAOK

vs
0.60

Panionios

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
0-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).