Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Trafford
16.0%
Draw
10.5%
Campion
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Trafford
vs
0.77
Campion
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).