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18 Dec 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.2%
Greuther Furth
29.0%
Draw
45.7%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Greuther Furth

vs
1.39

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).