Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Colchester
27.3%
Draw
29.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Colchester
vs
0.98
Crewe
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).