Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.9%
Portsmouth
14.8%
Draw
8.2%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Portsmouth
vs
0.57
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).