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15 Sept 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.7%
Las Palmas
29.8%
Draw
40.5%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Las Palmas

vs
1.19

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).