Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Galatasaray
31.4%
Draw
13.5%
Goztep
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Galatasaray
vs
0.68
Goztep
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.8%
2-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).