Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Famalicao
29.6%
Draw
19.3%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Famalicao
vs
0.61
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.1%
0-0
15.7%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).