Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.3%
Watford
19.6%
Draw
71.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Watford
vs
2.28
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.8%
0-1
10.1%
0-3
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.0%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).