Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Castellon
21.1%
Draw
19.0%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Castellon
vs
1.03
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).