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AHT: 01

25 Aug 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.4%
Wolfsburg
16.9%
Draw
66.7%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Wolfsburg

vs
2.84

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS71.7%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-3
5.4%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.9%
0-4
3.8%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).