⚽ FootballData
2 – 3
AHT: 02

01 Sept 2024 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
38.5%
Górnik Zabrze
24.8%
Draw
36.7%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.63

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS66.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).