Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Lech Poznań
17.0%
Draw
12.7%
Stal Mielec
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Lech Poznań
vs
1.11
Stal Mielec
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
3-0
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).