Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Sociedad B
22.7%
Draw
41.9%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Sociedad B
vs
1.73
Almeria
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).