Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Scunthorpe
27.0%
Draw
28.5%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Scunthorpe
vs
1.21
Oldham
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).