Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Sevilla
19.9%
Draw
64.4%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Sevilla
vs
2.22
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
0-3
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
2-1
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
1-4
4.0%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).