Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Maritimo
26.8%
Draw
37.7%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Maritimo
vs
1.20
Aves
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).