Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Bristol City
29.6%
Draw
30.8%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Bristol City
vs
1.12
Watford
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).