Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.6%
Galatasaray
10.3%
Draw
2.1%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Galatasaray
vs
0.50
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).