Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Leganes
28.8%
Draw
28.3%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Leganes
vs
0.94
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).