Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.5%
Barcelona
13.1%
Draw
7.4%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Barcelona
vs
0.78
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
5-1
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).