Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Derby
25.2%
Draw
20.2%
Wycombe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Derby
vs
0.73
Wycombe
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).