Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Port Vale
24.0%
Draw
9.8%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Port Vale
vs
0.41
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS26.3%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.1%
2-0
16.9%
0-0
13.8%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-2
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).