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23 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Nieciecza
22.0%
Draw
52.1%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Nieciecza

vs
2.18

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS69.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).