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31 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Portsmouth
31.5%
Draw
29.9%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Portsmouth

vs
0.98

West Brom

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).