Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Ingolstadt
27.3%
Draw
56.7%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Ingolstadt
vs
1.58
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).