Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Trapani
27.8%
Draw
22.1%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Trapani
vs
0.96
Crotone
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).