Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
22.5%
Draw
30.1%
Hanworth Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
vs
1.38
Hanworth Villa
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).